Social Wealth Fund growth simulator

Equity-condition inflows → fund AUM and a universal citizen dividend

Annual inflow (equity condition) $60B/yr

Real return 5.0%

Payout / dividend rule 3.0%

Horizon 30 yrs

2008-style shock at yr 15 stress

Fund AUM (end)—

Annual payout (end)—

Citizen dividend (end)—

AUM compounds at the real return, takes the annual inflow, pays out the rule, and (optionally) takes a one-time drawdown at year 15. Dividend per ~258M US adults. Calibrated to Norway's GPFG long-run return + spending rule.

Sources: NBIM (GPFG), Alaska Permanent Fund Corp & PFD Division, Temasek/GIC, Australia Future Fund, Saudi PIF annual reports. Fund simulator calibrated to GPFG long-run real return. See SOURCES.md.