Risk register — likelihood × impact

16 risks across six categories; filter and hover for rationale

Filter category
Risks scored
Mean severity
Top risk
Bubble position = likelihood × impact (1–5); size = severity. Hover for the rationale. Scores are analyst judgements (methods appendix).
Sources: SpaceX S-1 & launch-week reporting; Yahoo Finance live tape. Multiples/scores are analyst assumptions — see SOURCES.md & the methods appendix.